Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.610125 1.938142 2.336208 2.861427 3.546167 4.422849 5.653974e+00
2024-12-15 1.176781 1.572868 2.125372 2.980068 4.322930 6.454638 1.033346e+01
2024-12-22 0.896248 1.282279 1.873304 2.896476 4.747009 8.247042 1.628930e+01
2024-12-29 0.758649 1.147080 1.789529 3.015537 5.536801 11.194605 2.790247e+01
2025-01-05 0.650340 1.025913 1.685735 3.048249 6.172553 14.353817 4.538140e+01
2025-01-12 0.556388 0.906145 1.549549 2.962993 6.504876 17.098681 6.803345e+01
2025-01-19 0.487897 0.816954 1.447302 2.911511 6.896826 20.475757 1.048096e+02
2025-01-26 0.457105 0.790554 1.460583 3.125579 8.152150 28.514726 2.143287e+02
2025-02-02 0.425837 0.757059 1.450629 3.280144 9.355443 38.524124 4.527950e+02
2025-02-09 0.388553 0.705145 1.389030 3.277932 10.044834 47.553629 8.759099e+02
2025-02-16 0.351998 0.649214 1.307245 3.193259 10.386793 55.565544 1.623245e+03
2025-02-23 0.328618 0.617677 1.276523 3.250593 11.384490 71.486539 4.367455e+03
2025-03-02 0.312008 0.599147 1.275677 3.410127 13.059685 100.978205 2.323701e+04
2025-03-09 0.291208 0.568555 1.239159 3.443622 14.199158 132.164563 2.077535e+05
2025-03-16 0.266350 0.525592 1.163004 3.315516 14.369130 152.735270 3.324962e+06
2025-03-23 0.254308 0.510726 1.158964 3.449531 16.300760 221.853177 NaN
2025-03-30 0.240035 0.488741 1.131426 3.486400 17.702329 301.276065 NaN
2025-04-06 0.222880 0.457851 1.073730 3.384871 18.038342 360.642780 NaN
2025-04-13 0.208708 0.432766 1.028936 3.323809 18.674289 450.146323 NaN
2025-04-20 0.204496 0.431821 1.054790 3.577481 22.412212 828.730198 NaN
2025-04-27 0.198435 0.425459 1.063282 3.761169 25.984893 1498.862987 NaN
2025-05-04 0.188501 0.408016 1.034440 3.758534 27.691985 2226.205286 NaN
2025-05-11 0.177328 0.386259 0.988713 3.657854 28.169667 2910.029298 NaN